Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.756591e-03 0.001938 0.002119 0.002316 0.002520 0.002728 0.002954
2024-12-15 1.412913e-03 0.001693 0.001986 0.002312 0.002664 0.003030 0.003438
2024-12-22 1.118440e-03 0.001471 0.001856 0.002300 0.002792 0.003318 0.003915
2024-12-29 9.059843e-04 0.001316 0.001783 0.002340 0.002974 0.003665 0.004464
2025-01-05 7.266610e-04 0.001178 0.001715 0.002375 0.003146 0.004001 0.005005
2025-01-12 5.694748e-04 0.001045 0.001638 0.002392 0.003291 0.004305 0.005513
2025-01-19 4.106456e-04 0.000884 0.001511 0.002335 0.003344 0.004500 0.005895
2025-01-26 3.024284e-04 0.000773 0.001433 0.002331 0.003452 0.004755 0.006344
2025-02-02 2.185879e-04 0.000680 0.001369 0.002335 0.003565 0.005014 0.006796
2025-02-09 1.753074e-04 0.000643 0.001377 0.002429 0.003787 0.005401 0.007397
2025-02-16 1.349833e-04 0.000601 0.001372 0.002504 0.003983 0.005754 0.007959
2025-02-23 7.264474e-05 0.000490 0.001251 0.002413 0.003965 0.005848 0.008213
2025-03-02 3.101300e-05 0.000399 0.001158 0.002367 0.004015 0.006042 0.008609
2025-03-09 1.050500e-05 0.000340 0.001111 0.002383 0.004150 0.006345 0.009144
2025-03-16 7.027813e-07 0.000282 0.001055 0.002384 0.004265 0.006626 0.009657
2025-03-23 NaN 0.000245 0.001033 0.002435 0.004447 0.006992 0.010277
2025-03-30 NaN 0.000210 0.001008 0.002478 0.004618 0.007345 0.010883
2025-04-06 NaN 0.000173 0.000972 0.002499 0.004758 0.007661 0.011444
2025-04-13 NaN 0.000124 0.000892 0.002445 0.004790 0.007837 0.011834
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000094 0.000846 0.002443 0.004893 0.008101 0.012332
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000070 0.000808 0.002448 0.005004 0.008376 0.012843
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000063 0.000824 0.002546 0.005248 0.008823 0.013567
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000054 0.000827 0.002623 0.005461 0.009230 0.014242